EUR/USD
Trend: Upward
Buy EUR/USD at 1.2719  SL 1.2679  TP 1.2749
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GBP/USD
Trend: Upward
Buy GBP/USD at 1.5813  SL 1.5773  TP 1.5843
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USD/JPY
Trend: Downward
Sell USD/JPY at 79.35 SL 79.75   TP 79.05
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USD/CHF
Trend: Downward
Sell USD/CHF at 0.9445  SL 0.9485  TP 0.9415
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EUR/USD
Trend: Upward
Buy EUR/USD at 1.2685  SL 1.2645  TP 1.2715
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GBP/USD
Trend: Upward
Buy GBP/USD at 1.5797  SL 1.5757  TP 1.5827
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USD/JPY
Trend: Downward
Sell USD/JPY at 79.31  SL 79.71  TP 79.01
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USD/CHF
Trend: Downward
Sell USD/CHF at 0.9468  SL 0.9508  TP 0.9438
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The pair EUR/USD traded downward at the Forexcurrency market on Friday morning.

By 7.55 Moscow time the Euro is at 1.2682 against yesterday’s closing level of 1.2697.

Market continues to move away from risks and this process has intensified when it became known that rating agency Moody’s downgraded ratings of 16 Spanish banks. It was quite an expected action; however investors were frustrated.

In addition, agency Fitch has revised downward rating of Greece, to the level of CCC from B-.

Therefore, market has to deal with this negative information today.

Most likely the pair EUR/USD will not go beyond the range of 1.2650-1.2750 at the trading session on Friday.

Forecast for May 18th, 2012

EUR/USD

The EUR/USD currency pair continues falling down, the current descending trend remains very strong. The price hasn’t formed any reversal patterns at shorter time frames and hasn’t started any serious correction, which can be used in order to sell the pair. If we take a closer look at the H4 chart, we can see that the area of 1.2640 is expected to be a starting point of the correction. The target level of the correction is the area of 1.29, where one can consider selling the pair. The target of the pattern is the area of 1.2540. Right now we recommend to stay out of the market.

GBP/USD

The GBP/USD currency pair is starting falling down faster. Right now the closest target of the fall is the area of 1.5815, which is expected to be a starting point of the correction. One can consider selling Pound with the stop above 1.5950 while the price is testing the area of 1.5920. Right now we recommend to stay out of the market.

USD/CHF

The USD/CHF continues moving upwards. By now the price has already reached the area for sales and started the descending correction towards the level of 0.9335, where one can consider buying Franc with the tight stop. Right now we recommend to avoid aggressive sales of the pair. It’s better to wait until the price forms reversal patterns at shorter time frames.

USD/CAD

Canadian Dollar is moving according to the forecast. The price has rebounded from the area for purchases and reached the closest targets of the growth at the level of 1.0150. We can expect the pair to start falling down from the level of 1.0190 into the area of 1.0130. The target of the ascending pattern is the area of 1.0225. If the pair falls down lower than 1.0090, this scenario will be cancelled. Right now we’re expecting the price to test the level of 1.0190, where one can consider selling the pair aggressively with the tight stop.

NZD/USD

The NZD/USD currency pair continues moving downwards, and right now there are no signs of the trend reverse. The price is testing the closest support level of 0.7625. If the price breaks it, the pair will continue falling down. The target of the fall is the area of 0.7540. One can consider selling New Zealand Dollar with the tight stop. If the pair grows up higher than 0.77, this scenario will be cancelled.

EUR/USD: Euro is being technically corrected

The pair EUR/USD traded upward at the Forexcurrency market on Thursday morning.

By 8.25 Moscow time the Euro is at 1.2742 against yesterday’ closing level of 1.2715.

Yesterday the pair went down to the local lows at 1.2680 after which market calmed down and allowed Euro to start technical correction.

Minutes of the meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve were in general neutral: only a few members of the monetary committee wish to see a new round of quantitative easing, others are against it. According to estimates of the monetary authorities, economy of the country still raises concern and FR holds a “wait and see” attitude.

Greece is going to suspend privatization program until July at least- treasury will be deprived of those minor receipts now.

Market will wait for weekly report from the U.S. labour market.

Most likely the pair EUR/USD will not go beyond the range of 1.2650-1.2790 at the trading session on Thursday.

Forecast for May 17th, 2012

EUR/USD

Although we expected the EUR/USD currency pair to start growing up, it continued moving downwards. We still don’t recommend selling the pair. By the moment the price has reached the first target of “triangle” pattern at the daily chart, it’s the descending channel’s lower border. We should expect the pair to rebound from the current levels in an upward direction. However, if the pair breaks the lower border, the descending trend will become stronger. Generally, the structure of the price movement implies that the price may fall down into the area of 1.25, but only after the correction from the current levels to the level of 1.30. It’s better to wait until the price forms reversal patterns at shorter time frames and then try to buy Euro with the tight stop.

GBP/USD

The GBP/USD currency pair has also fallen down a lot. However, here we also have a very strong support level. The test of the ascending channel’s lower border also implies that the pair may rebound from the current levels in an upward direction. Generally, the ascending structure at the daily chart has changed a bit, but there is still a possibility that Pound may start moving upwards. Here it’s also better to wait until the price forms reversal patterns and then try to buy the pair with the tight stop. The closest target of the growth is the area of 1.6255.

USD CHF

The USD/CHF currency pair is testing the ascending channel’s upper border, we should expect it to rebound from the current levels in a downward direction. One can consider selling the pair only after the price forms reversal patterns at shorter time frames. The target of the fall is the area of 0.9140, which is expected to be a starting point of a new ascending movement. One can either consider selling the pair aggressively with the tight stop or stay out of the market for a while.

USD/RUR

The USD/RUR currency pair is moving according to the forecast, the price has got very close to the descending channel’s upper border. One can consider selling the pair from the current levels with the tight stop above 31.90. The target of the fall is the area of 28.20. If the price breaks the upper border and leaves the descending channel, this scenario will be cancelled.

USD/CAD

Canadian Dollar also continues growing up. At the moment the price is forming the ascending pattern at the M30 chart, the target of the growth is the area 1.0150. One can consider buying the pair after the price falls down and reaches the area of 1.0060. If the pair breaks the ascending channel’s lower border and falls down lower than 1.0020, this scenario will be cancelled.

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EUR/USD
Trend: Upward
Buy EUR/USD at 1.2750  SL 1.2710  TP 1.2780
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GBP/USD
Trend: Upward
Buy GBP/USD at 1.5930  SL 1.5890  TP 1.5960
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USD/JPY
Trend: Downward
Sell USD/JPY at 80.49 SL 80.89   TP 80.19
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USD/CHF
Trend: Downward
Sell USD/CHF at 0.9417  SL 0.9457  TP 0.9387
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EUR/USD
Trend: Upward
Buy EUR/USD at 1.2728  SL 1.2688  TP 1.2758
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GBP/USD
Trend: Upward
Buy GBP/USD at 1.5969  SL 1.5929  TP 1.5999
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USD/JPY
Trend: Downward
Sell USD/JPY at 80.33  SL 80.73  TP 80.03
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USD/CHF
Trend: Downward
Sell USD/CHF at 0.9438  SL 0.9478  TP 0.9408
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Morning Free Gold Signals 15/05/2012

Morning Free Gold Signals 15/05/2012  08:00 AM GMT

Pair Buy/Sell Entry Stop lost Target
GOLD Buy 1558.10 1552.10 1562.10

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